Cyclone Melissa Grows Stronger While Heads In the Direction of Jamaica
Tropical Storm Melissa is projected to strengthen into a rare Category 5 cyclone as it turns towards Jamaica, causing life-threatening rapid inundation and rock falls.
The cyclone, which had winds of up to 120 mph as of 06:00 GMT, is currently turning toward the northwest in the Caribbean region and is anticipated to make landfall by early next week, according to hurricane specialists.
Advisories of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been announced as Melissa brings up to thirty inches of rainfall and storm surges as high as 13ft above ground. "Seek shelter now," inhabitants have been urged.
Melissa is the thirteenth cyclone in this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which usually concludes in November.
Highest-Level Cyclone Danger
A highest-level storm is the most intense classification, with winds of at least 157 miles per hour.
Even though the hurricane is expected to weaken to a Category 4 hurricane before arriving at the island, meteorologists said there was "very little practical difference in the general consequences" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "equally strong" when it impacts the nation.
Urgent Preparations
With tropical storm-level winds and rain anticipated well in advance well before it moves across Jamaica's central region - perhaps encompassing the national capital - alerts indicate that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"A multi-day period of destructive gusts and torrential rain have begun and will cause catastrophic and life-threatening rapid water accumulation and numerous mudslides," counseled weather authorities.
The nation's leader the official commented: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are anxious, who are extremely apprehensive, and rightfully so: you should be concerned.
"Yet the optimal approach to manage worry and any unease and anxiety is to remain prepared."
Locals are being instructed to secure their homes with sandbags and plywood sheets, and to stock up on basic necessities.
Regional Effects
Warnings are also ongoing for areas in Haiti including the primary urban center, the adjacent nation and Cuba's eastern region, where this storm is anticipated to bring similar effects by the midweek period.
Landslides presently generated by the cyclone have caused two deaths in the country, according to emergency services.
Future Trajectory
Melissa is projected to pass over Cuba by the middle of the week before traveling via the Caribbean archipelago and entering the open ocean.
By the time it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is predicted to have weakened to a category three storm.
Climate Context
While it is challenging to connect individual weather events to global warming, experts say it is resulting in climate patterns more common and more extreme.
Increased sea temperatures generate greater water vapor in the air, aiding in the development of tropical cyclones.
Prior to the start of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies forecast higher-than-average occurrence, mentioning heated marine conditions and likely stronger monsoon activity around African coastal regions - where Atlantic storms typically originate.